Polymarket Graph

Augur

Market Correlations

Markets whose price movements are correlated (log-returns, 4h buckets). Run: corr-2026-04-01-18h

Positive Correlations (44)

Market AMarket BrPts
Will Bitcoin exceed $150K in 2026?Will Ethereum exceed $10K in 2026?0.910560
Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz?Will oil prices spike above $120?0.890290
Will Bitcoin exceed $150K in 2026?Will DeFi TVL exceed $500B?0.880520
Will Iran attack Israel in 2026?Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel?0.870412
Will there be a global pandemic in 2026?Will WHO declare another emergency?0.860150
Will China invade Taiwan?Will semiconductor supply chain be disrupted?0.850320
Will Houthi Red Sea attacks continue?Will global shipping costs spike 50%+?0.840310
Will there be a global pandemic in 2026?Will mRNA vaccine stocks surge?0.830180
Will Ukraine recapture Kherson?Will EU increase military spending 5%+?0.820380
Will North Korea test ICBM in 2026?Will US deploy THAAD to South Korea?0.820170
Will Indian GDP surpass Japan?Will Sensex exceed 100K?0.810260
Will China invade Taiwan?Will TSMC stock crash 30%+?0.800340
Will Russia use nuclear weapons?Will NATO invoke Article 5?0.790290
Will El Nino cause food price spike?Will global wheat prices exceed 2022 highs?0.790230
Will the Fed cut rates in Q2 2026?Will S&P 500 reach 6000 in 2026?0.780450
Will the Fed cut rates in Q2 2026?Will 10Y Treasury yield drop below 3%?0.770410
Will global debt exceed $350T?Will sovereign debt crisis hit emerging markets?0.770260
Will OPEC cut production?Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel?0.760380
Will European recession hit in 2026?Will EUR/USD drop below parity?0.760350
Will EU carbon price exceed €100?Will renewable energy investment surge 30%+?0.750240
Will AGI be achieved by 2027?Will NVIDIA market cap exceed $5T?0.750230
Will Iran attack Israel in 2026?Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz?0.740310
Will Japan intervene in currency markets?Will USD/JPY exceed 160?0.740340
Will US GDP growth exceed 3%?Will unemployment drop below 3.5%?0.730420
Will European recession hit in 2026?Will ECB cut rates to 0%?0.730330

Negative Correlations (6)

Market AMarket BrPts
Will Argentina dollarize in 2026?Will Argentine peso hyperinflate?-0.720220
Will AI regulation pass in 2026?Will NVIDIA market cap exceed $5T?-0.680340
Will US GDP growth exceed 3%?Will the Fed cut rates in Q2 2026?-0.640450
Will Trump win 2028 nomination?Will Democrats retain Senate?-0.580420
Will Ukraine recapture Kherson?Will peace talks resume by Q3 2026?-0.540310
Will AI regulation pass in 2026?Will OpenAI revenue exceed $20B?-0.520260