Polymarket Graph

Augur

Whale Conviction

Markets linked by shared whale holders (>$5K positions). Same Dir = % of whales on same outcome side. Run: whale-2026-04-01-18h

Top Whale-Linked Market Pairs

Market AMarket BWhalesConvictionJaccardSame Dir
Will Bitcoin exceed $150K in 2026?Will Ethereum exceed $10K in 2026?89$12,400,0000.42387%
Will Iran attack Israel in 2026?Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel?67$8,900,0000.31282%
Will the Fed cut rates in Q2 2026?Will S&P 500 reach 6000 in 2026?78$10,200,0000.36779%
Will Bitcoin exceed $150K in 2026?Will Solana enter top-3 by market cap?62$7,800,0000.28984%
Will China invade Taiwan?Will TSMC stock crash 30%+?45$5,600,0000.23491%
Will Ukraine recapture Kherson?Will peace talks resume by Q3 2026?38$4,200,0000.19842%
Will OPEC cut production?Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel?52$6,700,0000.27885%
Will Trump win 2028 nomination?Will crypto regulation loosen?48$5,900,0000.25676%
Will AGI be achieved by 2027?Will NVIDIA market cap exceed $5T?56$7,100,0000.30181%
Will gold exceed $3000/oz?Will US dollar weaken 10%+ in 2026?41$4,800,0000.21278%
Will the Fed cut rates in Q2 2026?Will Bitcoin exceed $150K in 2026?72$9,400,0000.34574%
Will Houthi Red Sea attacks continue?Will global shipping costs spike 50%+?34$3,800,0000.17888%
Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz?Will oil prices spike above $120?42$5,200,0000.22393%
Will European recession hit in 2026?Will EUR/USD drop below parity?36$4,100,0000.18981%
Will AI regulation pass in 2026?Will OpenAI revenue exceed $20B?44$5,400,0000.24138%

Most Whale-Connected Markets

MarketLinksTotal WhalesAvg Same Dir
Will Bitcoin exceed $150K in 2026?1823481%
Will the Fed cut rates in Q2 2026?1519876%
Will Iran attack Israel in 2026?1215683%
Will S&P 500 reach 6000 in 2026?1114278%
Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel?1013484%
Will China invade Taiwan?911279%
Will Ethereum exceed $10K in 2026?910882%
Will NVIDIA market cap exceed $5T?89877%
Will gold exceed $3000/oz?78680%
Will Trump win 2028 nomination?78272%